SDVs To Create $650 Bn Value Potential For Auto Industry By 2030

Mobility Outlook Bureau
10 Sep 2023
09:00 AM
2 Min Read

Further, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) revenues from automotive software and electronics will grow nearly three-fold between now and 2030, from $87 billion to $248 billion.


SDVs

Driven by several factors, software-defined vehicles (SDVs) development has gained momentum and is expected to evolve over the next decade, creating a nearly $650 billion value potential for the auto industry by 2030.

According to a recent report by Boston Consulting Group, this represents 15% to 20% of automotive value. 

The automotive world is undergoing a radical change, in which two completely different industries—automotive and tech—are rapidly merging, providing the industry with its most challenging transformation in over a century. This is marked by a shift from internal combustion engines towards electric vehicles (EVs) and a shift from vehicles that are almost exclusively mechanical machines to ones with increasingly complex software-defined systems.

Further, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) revenues from automotive software and electronics will grow nearly three-fold between now and 2030, from $87 billion to $248 billion, according to a BCG analysis of SDV growth. And the supplier market for automotive software and electronics will nearly double, from $236 billion to $411 billion.

These are among the findings from a new report by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) in collaboration with the World Economic Forum. 

The report is based on insights from the Automotive in the Software-Driven Era Initiative, which the World Economic Forum and BCG launched to unlock the potential of cross-industry and public-private collaboration. To date, the initiative has engaged over 30 leading companies from the automotive, new mobility, and tech industries from around the world to join the effort.

Alex Koster, Managing Director, Senior Partner & Global Lead for the firm's automotive technology business, Boston Consulting Group, noted, 'The magnitude of change that the software-defined vehicle represents cannot be overstated. Software changes the source of competitive advantage at the heart of the product, the way and speed at which innovation is achieved, the role of firms and entire industries in making the car, and the relationship to the end user. More than ever before, realising the SDV and key functionalities such as advanced driver assistance will require combining the DNA of automotive and technology firms. Getting started now by figuring out their suitable role in this new environment is crucial for both industries.'

Partnering has been limited in the past as most companies were trying to develop individual solutions to occupy potential control points independently. In future stages, technology complexity and ecosystem dynamics make partnering and cross-industry collaboration essential to scale, improve safety, and meet customer demands.

According to the report, there are five essential insights for industry players: the industries' SDV transformation is overshadowed by complexity, and cross-industry collaboration will play a critical role in regaining scale; collaboration needs to start based on a shared, cross-industry tech stack taxonomy; industry alignment forges ahead with interoperable platform development, driving industry profitability; diverging regional innovation pace, user realities, and regulations require regional collaboration clusters; to thrive in a partnering-first world, organisations need to build their internal and external collaboration muscles, anchored in their operating model.

With the coming transition to the more developed stages of the software-defined vehicle, industry-wide, interoperable platforms are elementary to reactivate simplicity and scale. Forging alliances and partnerships across all layers of the vehicle will be crucial. Cross-industry collaboration is unlocking a fast track - whether to develop cutting-edge tech solutions or integrate platforms efficiently. Collaboration across organisational and industry silos becomes the new super-skill in this new, partnering-first world, the report observed.

Maya Ben Dror, Practice Manager, Automotive and New Mobility, World Economic Forum, mentioned, 'New partnerships between the auto industry and technology companies must be fostered to fully realise the benefits software-defined vehicles can offer. Automotive in the Software-Driven Era' was created by industry leaders in Davos to serve as a platform for cross-industry and public-private collaboration purposed at improving safety, inclusivity, sustainability, and overall system resilience.'

Courtesy: Boston Consulting Group. NB: Photo is representational' courtesy: Continental. 

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